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Question: Ace Hardware sells spare parts for lawn


Ace Hardware sells spare parts for lawn mowers. The following data were collected for one week in May when replacement lawn-mower blades were in high demand

Day……………………………………… Demand
1 ……………………………………………..10
2 ……………………………………………..12
3 ……………………………………………..13
4 ……………………………………………..15
5 ……………………………………………..17
6 …………………………………………….20
7 ……………………………………………..21

a. Simulate a forecast for the week, starting with F1 = 10, T0 = 2, α = .2, and β = .4. Use the trend model given in the chapter supplement.
b. Compute the MAD and tracking signal for the data. Use MAD 0 = 0.
c. Are the MAD and tracking signal within tolerances?
d. Simulate a forecast using simple smoothing for the week, starting with F1 = 10 and α = .2. Plot the forecast and the demand on a graph. Note how the forecast lags behind demand


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