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Question: The causes and consequences of the global


The causes and consequences of the global financial crisis (GFC) are numerous and remain hotly debated. One catalyst was clearly the collapse of the U.S. housing market in 2007–2008. The Federal Reserve played a role by overstimulating the economy during 2004–2007 when the housing asset bubble was forming. Later the Fed tightened credit conditions throughout late 2007 and early 2008 even though the Banker’s Roundtable reported that loan demand had “fallen off a cliff.” Congress played a role in writing legislation that encouraged home ownership by those with no real prospect of repaying a mortgage loan. Subprime mortgage loans were even granted to borrowers with no income, no job, and no assets (so-called NINJA loans). Middle-income borrowers played a role by seeking mortgages for much larger houses than they could afford. Mortgage brokers earned fat commissions facilitating these transactions which bankers approved, while bank regulators looked the other way.
In the end, the GFC was a massive failure of the capital markets that triggered what has been called the Great Contraction. U.S. GDP fell at magnitudes unseen since the –20 percent of the Great Depression of 1929–1932. In the last quarter of George W. Bush’s presidency (2008Q4), real GDP fell by an astonishing –9 percent. Business confidence and private investment collapsed in 2007–2009 by –37 percent, whilst consumption declined by –2 percent. Cumulatively, four years of potential output growth approaching $1.7 trillion were lost, such that real GDP in the U.S. returned in 2011Q4 to $13.3 trillion for the first time since 2007Q4. What caused this cataclysmic event? Was a lack of corporate governance or a failure of business integrity to blame?
In one sense, fraudulent conveyance underlies the global financial crisis. Mortgage backed securities that combined prime and subprime mortgages (with subprime containing too little down payment and too much default risk) were packaged and sold as highly rated A-level debt securities. Even worse, the debt buyers then stripped out the bottom tranches, repackaged these riskiest mortgage loans, and sold them worldwide also as A-rated securities. Some would argue this constitutes a fraudulent conveyance, but at a minimum, such transactions violate market integrity, for which senior executives in the banks and brokerage houses were ultimately responsible.
Market integrity is always defined relative to the expectations for fair and orderly markets of the market participants. In equity markets, for example, Aitken and Harris (2011) argue market participants expect regulators to prohibit market manipulation, insider trading, and front running conflicts of interest by broker-dealers serving as both principal and agent. In debt markets, however, partial disclosure, rampant conflicts of interest, and some intentional manipulation and misrepresentation are expected by the market participants. Insiders regularly get on the phones and disclose unaudited financial information that is not publicly available in order to sharpen their bargaining position over a negotiated bond price. But these negotiations about the “haircut” warranted by the bond’s perceived risks take place between sophisticated professionals with powerful reputation effects in repeat purchase bilateral agreements.
The contrast between stock and bond markets could hardly be greater…………………………

Required:

1. Could stronger corporate governance and greater business integrity have made any difference? The answer to counterfactuals is always uncertain, but brainstorm about how events might have unfolded differently. Suppose more senior executives had refused to sign off on fraudulent conveyance of mis-rated bonds?
2. Suppose more monitoring by corporate-level officers had prevented field-agent mortgage brokers from filing mortgage applications that were clearly fraudulent?
3. Suppose senior risk managers had asked who would be the counterparties that would need to step forward to buy mortgage-backed securities when it became clear their default rates were grossly underestimated. All markets, especially financial markets, do clear with enough price adjustment. But suppose senior executives in the banks had pressed for straight answers to just how much of a haircut such fraudulently conveyed securities would require. Is it possible at least some of what has transpired could have been avoided?


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> The following table presents data on sales (S), advertising (A), and price (P): Estimate the following demand models: b. Determine whether the estimated values of β1 and β2 are statistically significant (at the 0.05 level). c.

> Mary Graham worked as a real estate agent for Piedmont Properties for 15 years. Her annual income is approximately $100,000 per year. Mary is considering establishing her own real estate agency. She expects to generate revenues during the first year of $

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> Suppose that a firm’s production function is given by the following relationship: where Q = output L = labor input K = capital input a. Determine the percentage increase in output if labor input is increased by 10 percent (assuming t

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> Consider Exercise 3 again. Suppose the owner of the trawler can sell all the fish caught for $75 per 100 pounds and can hire as many crew members as desired by paying them $150 per week. Assuming that the owner of the trawler is interested in maximizing

> Bounds Inc. determined through regression analysis that its sales (S) are a function of the amount of advertising (measured in units) in two different media. This relationship is given by the following equation (X = newspapers, Y = magazines): S(X; Y) =

> Using the data in Table 4.1 for the Sherwin-Williams Company, estimate a multiplicative exponential demand model (see Equation 4.5) for paint sales. Data from Equation 4.5: Data from Table 4.1: b. Compare the results in part (a) (i.e., parameter es

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> Extension of the Cobb-Douglas Production Function—The Cobb-Douglas production function (Equation 7.16) can be shown to be a special case of a larger class of linear homogeneous production functions having the following mathematical form

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> Suppose an industry is composed of eight firms with the following market shares: Based on the (revised 2010) merger guidelines, would the Antitrust Division likely challenge a proposed merger between. a. Firms C and D (assume the combined market share

> An industry is composed of Firm 1, which controls 70 percent of the market, Firm 2 with 15 percent of the market, and Firm 3 with 5 percent of the market. About 20 firms of approximately equal size divide the remaining 10 percent of the market. Calculate

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> If the domestic prices for traded goods rose 40 percent over 10 years in China and 25 percent over those same 10 years in the United States, what would happen to a freely floating Chinese yuan/U.S. dollar exchange rate? Why?

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> Discuss the problems of aircraft noise around an airport from an externality perspective and propose a possible solution if: (a) housing existed in the airport area before the airport was built and (b) housing was built adjacent to the airport after th

> The industry demand function for bulk plastics is represented by the following equation: P = 800 - 20Q where Q represents millions of pounds of plastic. The total cost function for the industry, exclusive of a required return on invested capital, is:

> Would you consider the fractional ownership jet taxi industry (NetJets, FlexJets, etc.) to be a contestable market? Why or why not?

> What three factors determine whether two economies with separate fiscal and monetary authorities should form a currency union? Give an illustration of each factor using NAFTA economies.

> What are the incentives to innovate for a monopoly firm as compared with a firm in a competitive market if patent protection is not available?

> Sony’s PlayStation 2 (PS2) dominated the game console market from 1997–2003 with 123 million units sold. Today, Nintendo’s Wii has 62 percent of the market. Prices to achieve this spectacular growth have fallen continuously from $400 at launch to $250. S

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> Use the monthly series on the Consumer Price Index (all items) from the previous two years to produce a forecast of the CPI for each of the next three years. Is the precision of your forecast greater or less at 36 months ahead than at 12 months ahead? W

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> Differentiate the following functions: a. Y = 2X3 / (4X2 – 1) b. Y = 2X / (4X2 – 1) c. Y = 8Z2 - 4Z þ 1, where Z = 2X2 - 1 (differentiate Y with respect to X)

> The following table presents data on sales (S), advertising (A), and price (P): Estimate the following demand models: b. Determine whether the estimated values of β1 and β2 are statistically significant (at the 0.05 level). c.

> Consider again the Sherwin-Williams Company example discussed in this chapter (see Table 4.1). Suppose one is interested in developing a multiple regression model with paint sales (Y) as the dependent variable and promotional expenditures (A) and selling

> The summer months bring warm weather, mega fauna (bears), and tourists to the coastal towns of Alaska. Skagway at the top of the Inland Passage was, in the nineteenth century, the entrance to the Yukon. Today this town attracts multiple cruise ships per

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> Amazon’s new tablet computer, the Kindle Fire, has slim margins at its $199 retail price. Admittedly, this product is trying to change the way we read books. It is therefore positioned so as to penetrate a revolutionary new target market, the twentysomet

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> The setting is a Ralph Lauren outlet store, and the product line is Polo golf shirts. A product manager and the General Manager for Outlet Sales are analyzing the discounted price to be offered at the outlet stores. Let’s work through t

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> The state of Glottamora has $100 million remaining in its budget for the current year. One alternative is to give Glottamorans a one-time tax rebate. Alternatively, two proposals have been made for state expenditures of these funds. The first proposed pr

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> A machine that costs $12,000 is expected to operate for 10 years. The estimated salvage value at the end of 10 years is $0. The machine is expected to save the company $2,331 per year before taxes and depreciation. The company depreciates its assets on a

> The Department of Transportation wishes to choose between two alternative accident prevention programs. It has identified three benefits to be gained from such programs: • Reduced property damage, both to the vehicles involved in an acc

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2.99

See Answer